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To reverse a years of weakening total element productivity, regional labour market policy is shifting from easy job development to handling active workforce transitions. Governments and companies are scaling short, modular training programmes and micro-credentials in data analytics and digital operations to gear up workers for emerging roles. Workplace-based knowing and apprenticeship-style paths are ending up being more common as companies integrate AI tools into day-to-day workflows.
With oil rates forecasted to average $55-60 per barrel in 2026, local federal governments are heightening their focus on expense discipline and personal capital mobilisation. Financial policy is rotating towards the monetisation of state-owned assets in logistics, energies, and desalination to reroute funds towards higher-impact financial investments. While loaning by means of sukuk and sustainability-linked bonds is anticipated to increase to money strategic deficits, the focus remains on reinforcing non-oil earnings frameworks.
PwC Middle East economic policy and method partner Jing Teow said: "Having already mobilised capital and policy at scale, GCC governments are now concentrated on shipment. In 2026, the priority is enhancing economic durability through more secure trade and investment relationships, effective AI release, managed workforce shifts and disciplined fiscal policy in a more difficult and fragmented international environment.".
Saudi Arabia and UAE are poised to lead the Gulf region's financial growth in 2026, supported by strong private-sector performance, resilient domestic demand and renewed investment momentum, according to the most current ICAEW Economic Insight Q4 2025 report, produced by Oxford Economics. The GCC is expected to outshine most international regions peers next year, with local GDP forecast to grow by 4.4%. Across the GCC, non-energy activity is forecasted to expand by 4.1% in 2026, driven by strong labour markets, enhancing credit conditions and rising financial investment in technology and AI-related infrastructure.
Oil incomes will be under pressure in the very first half of 2026, production is anticipated to increase once again in the second half of 2026, supporting the area's medium-term outlook, it stated. Saudi Arabia will stay a major contributor to GCC momentum, with GDP projection to grow 4.3% in 2026.
Development will be supported by commercial growth and policy reforms, consisting of alleviated foreign ownership guidelines that intend to stimulate more financial investment. The financial deficit is projected to widen to 5.6% of GDP next year amidst softer oil rates, while the recent five-year rent freeze in Riyadh aims to reduce inflationary pressures, though it might constrain future housing supply.
Strong domestic fundamentalsThe UAE is likewise placed for another strong year of performance, with GDP forecast to rise 5.6% in 2026 as non-oil sectors continue to expand. Tourist, trade and financial services remain key development motorists, supported by population development and continual domestic need. Dubai's economy grew 4.4% in the very first half of 2025, reflecting broad-based non-oil strength.
Oil production is expected to get once again in the second half of 2026, complementing ongoing financial investment in infrastructure, technology and international trade partnerships. Hanadi Khalife, the Head of Middle East, ICAEW, said: "This quarter's outlook reinforces how far the GCC has been available in structure varied, resistant and internationally competitive economies.
How to Optimise GCC Strategy in 2026Scott Livermore, ICAEW Economic Advisor, and Chief Financial Expert and Managing Director, Oxford Economics Middle East, said: "Saudi Arabia and the UAE are entering 2026 with strong structures. Saudi non-oil activity is acquiring speed, supported by robust demand and increasing investment, even as financial pressures increase.""The UAE continues to benefit from strong domestic fundamentals, a sharp uplift in government spending and continual diversification efforts.
What differentiates 2026 from preceding years is not just the velocity of technological change, though that acceleration is real, however rather an essential shift in how enterprises envisage their GCCs' function. The is anticipated to grow to four hundred thirteen billion dollars by 2040, but this development masks a more extensive change.
Instead, they ask whether these centers drive innovation, own profit-and-loss obligation, and contribute to competitive distinction. In 2026, the most successful GCCs will act like internal startups, agile, cross-functional, insight-driven, and deeply lined up with international service results. This shift from execution to ownership represents maybe the single most substantial strategic recalibration in the GCC design's advancement.
Today, we're convening more than 3000 conferences between financiers and 119 Gulf-listed business with a combined value of $2.4 trillion at the HSBC GCC Exchanges Conference 2026, in London. We're combining investors, companies, exchanges, and policymakers to discuss what is changing in the area, and what follows, including the expansion and ongoing advancement of the Gulf's capital markets, and the region's growing role in international networks of capital and trade.
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